Starknet

Allocation Structure & Vesting Schedule
The STRK tokenomics are heavily weighted toward early‑stage participants, with roughly 20 % allocated to Early Contributors (≈2.0 bn STRK) and 18 % to Investors (≈1.8 bn STRK). Both groups are subject to a 35‑month vesting curve; Dropstab reports a “non‑linear” schedule with no cliff, while CryptoRank describes a linear release after a 2‑month cliff. The discrepancy between these sources contributes to the overall medium confidence rating. Grants and development partners receive about 13 % of the supply, and StarkWare itself holds roughly 11 %. A strategic reserve (10 %) and community‑focused buckets—Community Rebates (9 %), Foundation Treasury (8.1 %), Community Provisions (7.2 % vested at TGE), and two smaller “Community Provisions” lines (≈3.8 % total)—complete the distribution. The only fully disclosed vesting term outside the early‑stage groups is the immediate, 0‑month unlock for the 7.2 % Community Provisions allocation. The remaining categories lack publicly detailed vesting parameters, which adds uncertainty to the supply‑side dynamics.

Upcoming Unlocks, Risks & Confidence
Assuming a token generation event (TGE) at the start of 2024, the 35‑month vesting for Early Contributors and Investors will generate monthly releases through mid‑2026, with the first tranche potentially occurring as early as month 1 (per Dropstab) or month 3 (per CryptoRank’s 2‑month cliff). The immediate 7.2 % community allocation is already in circulation, creating a baseline liquid supply. The concentration of ~38 % of total tokens in the two insider groups poses a notable sell‑pressure risk, especially if market conditions deteriorate before the vesting curve tapers. Moreover, the lack of transparent vesting details for Grants, StarkWare, the Strategic Reserve, and the Foundation Treasury hampers precise forecasting of future unlocks. Given the mixed source data—high confidence on the early‑contributor and investor figures but medium confidence on the majority of other allocations—the overall assessment remains Medium. Investors should monitor any official vesting disclosures from StarkWare and watch for on‑chain activity that could signal accelerated releases or large‑scale transfers from the less‑transparent buckets.